Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight contents Palin/Huckabee/Romney/Gingrich will be the 2112 GOP Ticket

MH CasualFascinating column from Silver this week in which he points out that of the dozen or more major names bandied about for the Republican nomination for 2012, there are four people who all have over 80 percent name recognition, plus high positive ratings, plus low negative ratings, plus unique niche followings within the party. (Palin, Romney, Huckabee, and Gingrich)

Silver’s conclusion? Any one of the top contenders could falter, but it’s virtually impossible for all four to falter, thus meaning it will be impossible for any newcomer to catapult over these four. He’s predicting that one of these four will be the Republican nominee and I agree. I’m willing to go one step further and predict it will be Mike Huckabee. He’s the best communicator of the four, has the least baggage, and is the most palatable to conservatives.

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